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	<title>Butterfly Options &#187; Exchange</title>
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		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; What is Forex? (part 1 of 2)</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-what-is-forex-part-1-of-2</link>
		<comments>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-what-is-forex-part-1-of-2#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Dec 2009 23:48:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Option Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Learn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-what-is-forex-part-1-of-2</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[



Forex or foreign Exchange or FX involves the buying and selling of one currency against another currency. They are always traded in pairs e.g. EUR/USD, USD/JPY. So when you are buying Euro dollars (EUR) you are also selling the US dollars (USD) in exchange for the Euro dollars. If you want to buy US dollars [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Forex or foreign Exchange or FX involves the buying and selling of one currency against another currency. They are always traded in pairs e.g. EUR/USD, USD/JPY. So when you are buying Euro dollars (EUR) you are also selling the US dollars (USD) in exchange for the Euro dollars. If you want to buy US dollars then you would sell the Euro dollars in exchange for buying the US dollars. </p>
<p>An example that we would encounter frequently is when we travel overseas and need to exchange the local currency for the foreign destination currency and we would head to the local money changer or bank to buy the foreign currency. This is a good example that we are familiar with. </p>
<p>By buying and selling currencies at the money changer or bank we are already involved in this huge foreign exchange market. Banks and central banks, investment funds, hedge funds, exporters and importers, companies and retail forex traders are among the main participants in the forex market. </p>
<p>Banks trade to generate profits and also act as buyers and sellers of one currency against another for their clients trading and commercial transaction. While central banks buy and sell currencies to hold as reserves and protect the reserves. They also act to moderate their country&#8217;s currency strength to facilitate reasonable terms of trade in the international markets for their exports and imports. </p>
<p>Investment funds have a percentage of their portfolio in the forex market for many reasons like diversification, hedging, etc. While most hedge funds will speculate on currencies as it is the biggest market in the world thus able to accommodate their large trading size which is quite difficult to do in the equities or futures market. </p>
<p>To be continue.. at &#8211; Forex Options Trading &#8211; What is Forex? (Part 2 of 2) </p>
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		<item>
		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; How to Read Forex Price Quotes (part 1 of 3)</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-how-to-read-forex-price-quotes-part-1-of-3</link>
		<comments>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-how-to-read-forex-price-quotes-part-1-of-3#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Dec 2009 01:14:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Option Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Learn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Options]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-how-to-read-forex-price-quotes-part-1-of-3</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[



When you start trading in the Foreign Exchange market, you will notice that the prices for either buying or selling a currency pair always come in a pair of price quotes. One is called the &#8216;Bid&#8217; (or Sell) and the other is called the &#8216;Ask&#8217; (or Buy). You will notice the same in any other [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When you start trading in the Foreign Exchange market, you will notice that the prices for either buying or selling a currency pair always come in a pair of price quotes. One is called the &#8216;Bid&#8217; (or Sell) and the other is called the &#8216;Ask&#8217; (or Buy). You will notice the same in any other investment/trading products (e.g. equities, commodities, etc.). The price that you buy a currency pair is reflected in the Ask price while the price that you sell a currency pair is reflected in the Bid price. </p>
<p>The Ask price or selling price of a currency pair is always the higher one in a price quote. While the Bid price or buying price is the price at which you buy the currency pair. What this means is that you will always buy at the higher price and sell at the lower price of a price quote. </p>
<p>You will notice that between the Bid and Ask price there is a difference and this difference is what we call the &#8220;Spread&#8221;. The spread is the cost of the trade or transaction. Usually this is the only cost for the trader as most forex brokers nowadays (due to competition on the internet) do not levy any additional commissions unlike when you are trading on other investment markets like equities, etc. </p>
<p>At the beginning it may seem confusing for a beginner as when we purchase something only 1 price is given to us. However, beginners just have to remember that you will always have to buy at the higher price of the 2 prices while selling a currency pair you would have to remember that it is the lower of the 2 prices. It doesn&#8217;t make sense for the broker to sell you at a lower price and then buy back from you at a higher price. </p>
<p>To be continue&#8230; on Forex Options Trading &#8211; How To Read FOREX Price Quotes (Part 2 of 3) </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; 9 Reasons on Why You Must Trade Forex (part 1 of 2)</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-9-reasons-on-why-you-must-trade-forex-part-1-of-2</link>
		<comments>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-9-reasons-on-why-you-must-trade-forex-part-1-of-2#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Dec 2009 00:13:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Option Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-9-reasons-on-why-you-must-trade-forex-part-1-of-2</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[



In the late 90&#8217;s, many financial company dominated the Forex Exchange Market. In the past several years the Forex Exchange Market has show a dramatic development. Nowadays private company are offering access to the Forex Market via internet data feed trading platform. 
Private investors are going into Forex Market, with access to the same market [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the late 90&#8217;s, many financial company dominated the Forex Exchange Market. In the past several years the Forex Exchange Market has show a dramatic development. Nowadays private company are offering access to the Forex Market via internet data feed trading platform. </p>
<p>Private investors are going into Forex Market, with access to the same market data and tools used by bank, hedge funds company and professional traders. </p>
<p>Below here is 9 reason on why you must trade Forex. </p>
<p>1.	Round the clock trading </p>
<p>The forex market is unique in that it is open 24 hours nearly 7 days a week. The market opens when the New Zealand and Australia markets open and closes when the US market closes. Due to the difference in time zone, it would seem that the forex markets are opened always. </p>
<p>2.	No need to choose from too many counters </p>
<p>Unlike equities, in forex you would only need to understand the minimum of 1 pair of currencies and concentrate on it. Whereas for stocks and shares, before you can start understanding the equity you would have to sieve through thousands of companies before you can start to concentrate on trading them. </p>
<p>3.	Liquidity </p>
<p>As the forex market is the biggest around, it is very liquid. Average daily turnover rose to $3.2 trillion in April 2007. Given its size, buyers and sellers can easily get their orders matched swiftly and easily. Whereas in the equity markets, one would have to wait for their orders to be matched especially if it concerns a stock that is not very well traded. </p>
<p>4.	Good Leverage </p>
<p>In forex, you are able to obtain leverage up to 200:1 or even more depending on the broker. This means a minimum deposit of USD 500 can allow a trader to open a position size of 100,000 to trade. No other markets give you this advantage. However, do note that leverage can be a double-edged sword too. </p>
<p>Stay tune to the Forex Options Trading &#8211; 9 Reasons on Why You Must Trade Forex (Part 2 of 2) </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; 9 Reasons on Why You Must Trade Forex (part 2 of 2)</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-9-reasons-on-why-you-must-trade-forex-part-2-of-2</link>
		<comments>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-9-reasons-on-why-you-must-trade-forex-part-2-of-2#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Dec 2009 11:34:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Option Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchange]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Learn]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-9-reasons-on-why-you-must-trade-forex-part-2-of-2</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the last article on &#8220;9 Reasons on Why You Must Trade Forex (Part 1 of 2)&#8221; You have understand the: 
1. Round the clock trading 2. No need to choose from too many counters 3. Liquidity 4. Good Leverage 
Next you will understand more on why you must trade forex. 
5.	No Brokerage fee or [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the last article on &#8220;9 Reasons on Why You Must Trade Forex (Part 1 of 2)&#8221; You have understand the: </p>
<p>1. Round the clock trading 2. No need to choose from too many counters 3. Liquidity 4. Good Leverage </p>
<p>Next you will understand more on why you must trade forex. </p>
<p>5.	No Brokerage fee or commission </p>
<p>Forex brokers mostly make from the spread between the bid and ask prices. Unlike other stock brokers where on top of the spread between the bid and ask prices, they will charge a commission based on the percentage of total value of contract. </p>
<p>6.	Able to short currencies </p>
<p>In forex, there is no restriction on short selling as all currencies are traded in pairs. i.e. you buy or sell one currency against another unlike stocks and shares. Without the restrictions, a trader can react quickly to the changing dynamics of the market unlike in the equities market where short selling is discouraged or made inconvenient to do. </p>
<p>7.	Minimum investment </p>
<p>You can start trading in forex from as little as USD200. The amount is dependent on the broker you are opening an account with. This is due to the leverage a trader can obtain from the broker which allows such low minimum deposit. </p>
<p>8.	Trade globally </p>
<p>With the overwhelming prevalence of internet and the many easily accessible forex trading platform provided by the forex brokers, we can now trade anytime and anywhere in the world as long as we have access to the internet. </p>
<p>9.	Unlimited Real time Demo Account Practice </p>
<p>Most forex brokers will allow you to open a demo trading account to practice your strategy and also get familiar with their trading platform. What this means is that you do not have to paper trade. It allows you to get as close and as real as trading in the real market without losing a cent first. </p>
<p>Forex Options Trading can do a very good model for people who want to do Forex Trading. What you need is a right system, the willingness to work and determination to not give until you reach your goal. If you are willing to take action, then this Forex Trading is suitable for you. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; 7 Important Rules to be Successful in Forex Trading!</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-7-important-rules-to-be-successful-in-forex-trading</link>
		<comments>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-7-important-rules-to-be-successful-in-forex-trading#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Dec 2009 23:47:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Option Trading]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-7-important-rules-to-be-successful-in-forex-trading</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this realistic world, to be successful in any trade or even in Forex Trading, you have to know the rules and learn to do it well. Learning Forex Trading is not like babies learning baby-crawl. It is more like babies learning of how to walk by the parent helping them by hold on their [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In this realistic world, to be successful in any trade or even in Forex Trading, you have to know the rules and learn to do it well. Learning Forex Trading is not like babies learning baby-crawl. It is more like babies learning of how to walk by the parent helping them by hold on their arms to balance up. </p>
<p>As a saying 98% of Forex Trader lost money on forex, yet only 2% success from forex trading. Why is that so? 2% of successful traders stick to their &#8220;golden rules&#8221; and will avoid all kinds of failure which others made. Always learn from other people experience before starting out yourself. If you have ever went for a forex workshop or seminar, you will also realize that all successful forex trader has a past history of getting burned by trading forex too. </p>
<p>So start to follow these rules that had been set by the successful trader! </p>
<p>1.	If unsure, ask for advice. </p>
<p>Before start trading, it will be better to trade with a group of friends where you can discuss it before making decision. Read up on books and forum to gather more information. Always practice trading on free trial account before going live. The more you understand the system the better your potential to success. </p>
<p>2.	Always start small. Greed Kills&#8230; </p>
<p>Trading Forex is risky by all means; even all gurus or banker can suffer from unexpected losses. The point is never be tempted to trade with more than you afford now or future. </p>
<p>3.	The market is always smarter than you! </p>
<p>Don&#8217;t ever be emotion and rash in trading; assuming can be result to 75% loss. Treat forex market as a war zone. Be prepare for trading by analyze the market before going for war. &#8220;Study your enemy&#8221;. </p>
<p>4.	Treat forex trading as a game. </p>
<p>No no kidding.. Maybe because of some winning trade, you might feel confident as in &#8220;over-confident&#8221; which can lead you to another disaster. Apply all training and stick to it. </p>
<p>5.	Stop loss is a must </p>
<p>Never assume the market will turn around, always put a stop loss in all trades. Losing small percents is always better than losing 100 percents. </p>
<p>6.	Disciplined matters </p>
<p>When you have found out your trading system, stick to it. Don&#8217;t even try to be smart by modify it. Modifying only apply in doing research and development time. Or else just follow the rules. </p>
<p>7.	Stay away from news </p>
<p>The most news affects the market movement, stay out from news and take yourself a break. After an hour later than you can continues trading as per normal. Some traders like to during news period. All depend on the strategy that the trader using. Non direction trading strategy will always be in the market, no matter there&#8217;s news or none. </p>
<p>There are a lots of trading method and strategy out there like; chart analyses, fundamental, trending, moving average, candlestick, Non Direction Trading and etc.. </p>
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		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; Trade Forex Options in 7 Easy Steps!</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-trade-forex-options-in-7-easy-steps</link>
		<comments>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-trade-forex-options-in-7-easy-steps#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Dec 2009 00:31:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Option Trading]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-trade-forex-options-in-7-easy-steps</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[FACT: 95% of forex trader do not know what is forex options, 4% of forex trader know what is forex options but they think that forex options was too complicated for them and only 1% use forex options for trading. 
Why Forex Options? Options allow you to have the right but no obligation to either [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>FACT: 95% of forex trader do not know what is forex options, 4% of forex trader know what is forex options but they think that forex options was too complicated for them and only 1% use forex options for trading. </p>
<p>Why Forex Options? Options allow you to have the right but no obligation to either buy a call option or sell a put option which is an asset at the certain price as known as the strike price on the certain date too. Right in buying or selling the underlying asset, you will pay a premium upfront to the seller of the options, whether you choose to use it or exercise the right. It is all dependent upon the market movement at the time the options exipres. </p>
<p>I will show you What is Forex Options in 7 Easy steps&#8230;. </p>
<p>What is a Call Options? </p>
<p>Call Option give the options holder, in return for paying a premium, the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at a specified price within a specifie timeframe. </p>
<p>What is a Put Options? </p>
<p>Put Option give the option holder, in return for paying a premium, the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a specified price within a specific timeframe. </p>
<p>What is a Strike Price? </p>
<p>Strike price is prices at which an options holder cab buy or sell underlying instrument. Strike price are also called the exercise price. </p>
<p>What is a Value Date? </p>
<p>Value date is the date when the settlement of funds for a trade transaction will take place on your account. In Forex, the value is usually two banking days from when the trade is executed. </p>
<p>What is an Exercise Date? </p>
<p>You will exercise an option when you invoke the right to purchase or sell the underlying asset at the price stated in the option contract. </p>
<p>What is an Expiration Date? </p>
<p>The expiration date is the day which the option expires. Options that can only be exercised on the expiration date are called European options. </p>
<p>What is Forex Vanilla Option? </p>
<p>Forex Vanilla Option is an ordinary option with no special features unlike stock or future options. </p>
<p>As a Forex Options Trader myself, it is easy to take the advantage on the forex market. Even if the market move up or down, you will be able to profit from that. Different strategy will get different amount of premium. </p>
<p>As a saying&#8230; Past different from present, present different from future. Market undergoing change. Profitable strategies become detrimental. But Forex Option Trading always stay. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; How to Read Forex Price Quotes (part 2 of 3)</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-how-to-read-forex-price-quotes-part-2-of-3</link>
		<comments>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-how-to-read-forex-price-quotes-part-2-of-3#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 23:55:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Option Trading]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-how-to-read-forex-price-quotes-part-2-of-3</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To read a forex price quote consisting of two different currencies you have to note that the first currency is known as the base currency while the second currency is called the quote currency. Another point of note is that the first currency value is always 1 (one). 
To further illustrate, the price quote or [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To read a forex price quote consisting of two different currencies you have to note that the first currency is known as the base currency while the second currency is called the quote currency. Another point of note is that the first currency value is always 1 (one). </p>
<p>To further illustrate, the price quote or exchange rate tells us how much of the quote currency we must pay to obtain one unit of the base currency. Likewise. The price quote or exchange rate tells us how much we will receive in the quote currency by selling one unit of the base currency. </p>
<p>For example, if you wanted to buy the EUR/USD a price quote of EUR/USD of 1.3550 means that 1 EURO dollar (EUR) is equal to 1.3550 US dollars (USD). This means that to buy 1 EURO dollar (EUR), you would have to pay 1.3550 US dollars (USD). </p>
<p>In the above case, if the currency pair&#8217;s prices rises (i.e. the EUR/USD price goes up) it would mean that the EURO dollar (EUR) has appreciated against the US dollar (USD) which has weakened. If the EUR/USD has now risen to 1.3850 from 1.3550 it will mean that the EURO dollar is stronger now compared to the US dollar (USD) as 1 EURO dollar can buy more US dollars (USD) than before. </p>
<p>Likewise if the EUR/USD has now dropped to 1.3350 from 1.3550 it will mean that the EURO dollar has become weaker relative to the US dollars as 1 EURO dollar now can only purchase lesser US dollars </p>
<p>To be continue&#8230; on Forex Options Trading &#8211; How To Read FOREX Price Quotes (Part 3 of 3) </p>
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		<title>Forex Options Trading &#8211; What is a Forex Call and Put Option?</title>
		<link>http://butterflyoptions.net/forex-options-trading-what-is-a-forex-call-and-put-option</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 13:11:16 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[What is a Forex Call Option? 
A forex option gives you the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a currency pair at a certain price on a certain date. The certain price in this case is called the &#8217;strike price&#8217;. That is the option gives you the flexibility of choosing where you [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What is a Forex Call Option? </p>
<p>A forex option gives you the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a currency pair at a certain price on a certain date. The certain price in this case is called the &#8217;strike price&#8217;. That is the option gives you the flexibility of choosing where you want to buy or sell the currency pair. The certain date in this case is called the &#8216;expiry&#8217; or the expiration date of the option. </p>
<p>If you think that the market is going to go up then you would buy a call option. Likewise, if you think that the market is heading down, you would buy a put option. The seller (or &#8220;writer&#8221;) of the forex call option is obligated to sell the currency pair should the buyer so decide. The buyer of the call option pays a fee (called a premium) for this right. </p>
<p>The buyer of a forex call option wants the price of the chosen currency pair to rise in the future; the seller either expects that it will not, or is willing to give up some of the upside (profit) from a price rise in return for the premium (paid immediately) and retaining the opportunity to make a gain up to the strike price. Call options are most profitable for the buyer when the price of the chosen currency pair has moved up past the strike price greatly. When the price of the chosen currency pair surpasses the strike price at the time of expiration, the option is said to be &#8220;in the money&#8221;. When the price of the chosen currency stays at or around the strike price at the time of expiration, the option is said to be &#8220;at the money&#8221;. When the price of the chosen currency pair goes under the strike price at the time of expiration, the option is said to be &#8220;out of the money&#8221;. </p>
<p>However, to be truly profitable, the gains resulting from the upward movement must also cover the cost of buying the forex call option (premium paid). For example, if the cost (premium) of buying a call option expiry in 1 week&#8217;s time is 120 pips then the chosen currency pair must move upwards more than 120 pips past the strike price. If it rises 300 pips above the strike price by expiration your profit would be (300 pips &#8211; 120 pips) 180 pips! </p>
<p>What is a Forex Put Options? </p>
<p>A forex put option gives you the right but not the obligation buy or sell a currency pair at a certain price on a certain date. The certain price in this case is called the &#8217;strike price&#8217;. That is the option gives you the flexibility of choosing where you want to buy or sell the currency pair. The certain date in this case is called the &#8216;expiry&#8217; or the expiration date of the option. </p>
<p>If you feel that the market is going to go down greatly then you would buy a put option. Likewise, if you think that the market is trending up, you would then buy a call option. The buyer of the put option pays a fee (called a premium) for this right as the buyer expects the price of the chosen currency pair to drop in the future while the seller expects that it will not. </p>
<p>Put options can only make profits for the buyer if the price of the chosen currency pair has moved down past the strike price greatly. When the price of the chosen currency pair falls past the strike price at the time of expiration, the put option is said to be &#8220;in the money&#8221;. When the price of the chosen currency stays at or around the strike price at the time of expiration, the put option is said to be &#8220;at the money&#8221;. When the price of the chosen currency pair goes above the strike price at the time of expiration, the put option is said to be &#8220;out of the money&#8221;. </p>
<p>Please note that the gains resulting from the downward movement must also cover the cost of buying the forex put option (premium paid) to be profitable. For example, if the cost (premium) of buying a put option expiring in 1 week&#8217;s time is 135 pips then the chosen currency pair must move downwards more than 135 pips past the strike price. If it falls 250 pips below the strike price by expiration your profit would be (250 pips &#8211; 135 pips) 115 pips! </p>
<p>Forex Options Trading can do a very good model for people who want to do Forex Trading. What you need is a right system, the willingness to work and determination to not give until you reach your goal. If you are willing to take action, then this Forex Trading is suitable for you. </p>
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		<title>Rick Redmont Bases Trading on Wyckoff Theories</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Dec 2009 12:24:49 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Off-floor trader Rick Redmont gained his first experience trading stocks as a college student during the bull market of 1961. &#8220;I had $10,000, which turned into $20,000. I followed the Chartcraft (Inc.) point and figure book-but it didn&#8217;t really matter what you bought. The only thing that made you mad was if your friend&#8217;s stock [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Off-floor trader Rick Redmont gained his first experience trading stocks as a college student during the bull market of 1961. &#8220;I had $10,000, which turned into $20,000. I followed the Chartcraft (Inc.) point and figure book-but it didn&#8217;t really matter what you bought. The only thing that made you mad was if your friend&#8217;s stock went up more than yours did.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Then in 1962, I started losing. The reason I was losing was because the stock market wasn&#8217;t going straight up anymore,&#8221; Redmont explained. &#8220;I turned $10,000 into $20,000 and $20,000 into $2,000.&#8221; Redmont jokes that his family members gave him books for Christmas that year with title like I was a teenage bankrupt. However, Redmont was spurred on by his financial setback. &#8220;I decided anything that had the potential to double my money and lose it all was worth learning about,&#8221; he said.<br />
He launched into a study of &#8220;almost everything that has been written from 1900 to date&#8221; on trading and technical analysis. After graduate school, Redmont joined the brokerage business and remained a broker until several years ago, when he broke away to trade for his own account. One of the books Redmont read early on was the classic Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, by Edwards and Magee.<br />
However, Redmont thought &#8220;intellectually, if it&#8217;s this easy-if all you have to do is look at head and shoulders, triangles and rectangleseverybody would be rich!&#8221;<br />
Through his exhaustive reading of the materials available on financial markets and trading, Redmont happened upon a course offered by the Stock Market Institute that really hit home for him. &#8220;It is all based on the work of Richard D. Wyckoff. It teaches you how to use real point and figure charts and the origin was from floor traders back in the 1800s.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;It teaches you the relationship of volume and price and point and figures. From there, I really learned how to understand how the market operates,&#8221; Redmont continued. Tbough he added, &#8220;I spent three years on this.&#8221; Additionally, Redmont notes that he enrolled in an Elliott wave course offered by C. Ralph Dystant and learned about an indicator called %D. Now, Redmont calls himself strictly a technical trader. &#8220;I use Wyckoff, I use Elliott, and the indicator I use is fast %D.&#8221;<br />
Currently, Redmont trades &#8220;about 98% OEX options.&#8221; Redmont trades on an intraday basis, though he does hold positions overnight but overall, he tends to be a short-term trader. Throughout the day Redmont monitors five minute charts, 30-minute charts and 60-minute charts. &#8220;I look for divergences between the Dow, the OEX and the S&amp;P (500).&#8221;<br />
&#8220;I look at different time periods. I look at the premium. I look at the advance/decline line on a five minute basis and tick volume,&#8221; Redmont added. While Redmont bases his trading primarly on Wyckoff&#8217;s volume theories, he admits &#8220;there is no system. It&#8217;s total discretion-it&#8217;s as good as I am. I keep it simple. I buy calls and I buy puts. I don&#8217;t spread them. I just want to know what direction it is going.&#8221; Redmont champions Wyckoff&#8217;s volume theories saying &#8220;it works because it is the market. You are analyzing the law of supply and demand,&#8221; he explained.<br />
To further explain a basic premise of Wyckoff&#8217;s volume theory, Redmont gives a simple example. &#8220;You are looking at a stock. It trades 10,000 shares and goes up one point on the first day. The same thing happens on the second day. On the third day, it trades 20,000 shares and goes up 1 point. On the fourth day, it trades 40,000 shares and goes up half a point. On the fifth day, it trades 80,000 shares and is unchanged.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;On the third day, you had to exert twice as much effort to get the same result (as the first day),&#8221; Redmont noted. &#8220;The key to analyzing supply and demand is that the demand side burns itself out. There is no pressing reason, except being caught short, why someone should buy something. But, there are a million reasons to sell something.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;When the buying is through and satisfied-there is always supply there. That&#8217;s why prices go down faster-because supply is always there and demand is not. All you have to do is withdraw people who want to buy and prices fall.&#8221;<br />
While Redmont primarily trades OEX options, he believes that Wyckoff&#8217;s volume theories are just as applicable to the futures markets. &#8220;What difference does it make if you are analyzing the S&amp;P or sugar or cotton or the Japanese yen-the analysis is the same,&#8221; he said. In his trading, Redmont notes he does monitor the size of market&#8217;s corrective retreats and rallies. &#8220;As (Fibonnaci numbers) became more popular, the markets started connecting 61.8% and 38.2%. Today, very rarely do they correct 50%.&#8221;<br />
Based on work by Fibonnaci, many technical analysts have speculated that financial markets tend to move in sequences that can be measured by these numbers-including 61.8% and 38.2%. However, Redmont said, &#8220;these things work in the markets because people use them-it&#8217;s not because it&#8217;s mystic, or in plant life, or in the pyramids.&#8221; For example, in watching the markets, Redmont said, &#8220;if you have a move up and you have a correction, you want volume to drop off and you want that to fall into a 61.8%.&#8221;<br />
While Redmont notes that Wyckoff theory works for him, he suggests potential traders read two books-Market Wizards and The New Market Wizards, by Jack Schwager. &#8220;Read them with one purpose in mind-to understand that there are 40 people who were successful doing different things.&#8221; When asked what some of the characteristics he believes are necessary to successful futures trading, Redmont answered, &#8220;dramatic concentration powers to understand the markets and to spend the time learning the niche of whatever it is they do.&#8221; </p>
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		<title>Option Trading: Thinking &#8220;Outside the Box&#8221;</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Dec 2009 23:35:31 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Wouldn&#8217;t it be great if we could buy an option with five months left until expiration and sell an option with 2 months left until expiration for the same price? You couldn&#8217;t lose. Well we can&#8217;t. I love options spreads so much I realized something very important. We can buy a spread that has a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wouldn&#8217;t it be great if we could buy an option with five months left until expiration and sell an option with 2 months left until expiration for the same price? You couldn&#8217;t lose. Well we can&#8217;t. I love options spreads so much I realized something very important. We can buy a spread that has a lot of time value left at almost the same price as we can sell one with less time value left. The reason really opened my eyes and gave me new insight into options. Here is what I came to realize.<br />
I started comparing how expensive options were in relation to the other strike prices in the same month and to the other months. I wanted to know based on th e price per day which options were more expensive.<br />
The first 1 or 2 option months, as everyon e knows loses time value quickly. The at the money strike prices are very expensive compared to the out of the mon ey strike prices. Since there is not that much time left, how much can they charge for an out of the money option? Not much.<br />
The next several months, the opposite is true. Compared to each other, the strikes that are closer to the money are cheaper in terms of price per day than the options further out of the money.  Let me explain it another way using the S&amp;P market.<br />
6 days left at the money option cost 12 points<br />
6 days left out of the money option cost 2 points<br />
70 days left at the money option cost 43 points<br />
70 days left out of the money option cost 29 points<br />
There is more than 10X the time left but the 70 day at the money option (43 points) is only less than 4X the price than the 6 day at the money option (12 points).<br />
The 70 day out of the money option (29 points) is almost 15X the cost of the 6 day out of the money option (2 points) but only has 10X the time value. We will buy the cheaper options and sell the more expensive ones.<br />
Sell 6 day at the money and sell 70 day out of the money. Buy 6 day out of the money and buy 70 day at the money. This will be done for a 4 point debit. We are now buying a spread that has 10X more time value than the one we are selling and are only paying 4 points for it.<br />
When the 6 day options expire we can sell the next month to take in more premium, still keeping the 70 day option spread.<br />
What goes up, must come down! We have all heard this befo re in reference to the laws of Gravity. We have laws in the commodity markets as well. What comes down, must go up! The greatest traders of our time like War ren Buffet know this. He is perhaps the greatest Stock trader ever. He had never traded commodities until a few years ago. He bought silver in the futures market. When the market went even lower he bought more. The &#8220;smart money&#8221;, commercials will not be scared into selling when a market they have purchased drops even further. They know better than anyone that a commodity has real value and will always be worth something.<br />
There is a famous book, &#8220;You Can&#8217;t Lose Trading Commodities&#8221;. The author buys commodities and then just waits for the market to go higher. He would purchase more as the market fell.<br />
You need a big bankroll for this. Personally I know corn won&#8217;t go to $1.00 but what if it did? I want to minimize the risk in case I want to end the trade.<br />
I started trading the Soy Complex this way several years ago. Not with options. Strictly futures. I bought what was similar to a crush spread. I increased the contracts as the market went against me until the spread rebounded a little. Since I increased the contracts I didn&#8217;t need the market to come back to where I started. It only had to rebound to the next level.<br />
Black Jack players did this until Casinos caught on and put limits on bets. It is a known fact that futures traders make good gamblers and professional gamblers make good futures traders. I am against gambling but even gambling done with a system is not really gambling.<br />
These card players would bet something like this: $5 lose, $10 lose, $20 lose, $40 lose, $80 win. The losses add up to $75. They would win $80, so the profit is $5. Not a lot, but they would do this all day. Black Jack is just under 50% probability for the player.<br />
The problem is there is a slight chance that you could lose 40 times in a row. Now with Commodities we have a 50% probability and we won&#8217;t lose 50 times in a row because the market can&#8217;t go b elow zero.<br />
Now before I go an y further, I need to tell you that I am not recommending you double down on your trades. What you can find are mark ets that are near their lows where you can do a small scale trade. Spreads offer even better opportunities. They have a closer range (high to low).<br />
By now you can see we only use this to go long a market since we can never b e sure how much a market can go higher. First we need to find a market that is low already so we won&#8217;t have to wait that long and also so there will be less capital needed. I prefer to trade this using options. There are many ways to do this. You could buy an option in a market like soybeans and choose how many cents the market will drop before you buy more. The problem is, an option is a wasting asset. The Theta (time decay) would cause you to lose money.<br />
I use spreads so I am not paying for time decay.  I will probably sell more Theta than I buy, so if the market does nothing I will make money just on time decay. </p>
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